Future of the rolling stock market by 2025

Rail vehicle market by product type (locomotive, S-Bahn, wagon and coach), locomotive technology (conventional, supercharged and magnetic levitation train), application (passenger and freight transport) and region

The globe Rolling Stock Market is estimated at $ 51.6 billion in 2020 and is projected to reach $ 64.3 billion by 2025, growing at a CAGR of 4.5% from 2020 to 2025.

Increasing urbanization and the increasing demand for passenger and freight transport have led to a growth in the rail vehicle market worldwide. The growing demand for public transport as a means of mass transport and the increasing demand from developing countries should offer lucrative opportunities for the market for industrial counterweights in the forecast period.

The number of technological advances in the rail vehicle market has increased rapidly. This is mainly due to the growing demand for features that ensure passenger comfort and safety. Rolling stock is also being innovated and new vehicle concepts for non-electrified railway lines are being developed in order to further reduce CO2 emissions. For example, rail vehicle manufacturers are experimenting with emission-free trains with fuel cell drives.

The main players considered in the analysis of the rail vehicle market are CRRC (China), Alstom (France), Siemens (Germany), Bombardier (Canada), General Electric (USA), Hyundai Rotem (South Korea), Kawasaki Heavy Industries (Japan) and Stadler ( Switzerland).

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Electric diesel locomotives are considered to be the fastest growing segment of the rail vehicle market by type. This is due to the increasing electrification of railways around the world. As electrical traction has proven to be the most energy efficient operation for rail, electrification of the tracks is expected to increase exponentially in the coming years. Thus, the development of the rail industry and the expansion of electrified railways would act as a catalyst for the growth of the rail vehicle market. Europe is expected to be the leader in the electric diesel locomotive market. The Europe and Asia-Oceania regions are focused on the development of electrified tracks. However, 100 percent electrification of the railways is both time-consuming and capital-intensive. Until the electrification of the tracks is complete, high demand for electric diesel locomotives can be expected, especially in Europe.

The conventional locomotive market is expected to grow with the highest CAGR from 2020 to 2025 and holds the largest market share in the rail vehicle market. The main advantage of the supercharged locomotives is that they deliver more power without increasing fuel costs. Countries such as China, Japan, Germany, Great Britain, France and Canada are consistently relying on improving rail traffic in order to reduce the increasing burden on roads and airways. As a result, governments have invested heavily in expanding the electrical railway infrastructure, which will boost the market for conventional electric and electric diesel locomotives. The report segments the Rolling Stock Market by product type in locomotives, suburban trains, wagons, coaches, and others. The wagon segment is expected to have the highest market share in the forecast period. Locomotives are used to pull passenger and freight cars for long-distance traffic. The increasing demand in freight transport has spurred global demand for locomotives. Passenger cars are used to transport people. With the help of couplings, several cars with trains can be put together.

The rail vehicle market is divided into passenger transport and goods transport according to application. Depending on the application, the segmentation of freight transport is likely to have the highest market share in the forecast period. The increasing need for an effective transport of industrial and commercial goods promotes the growth of the rail vehicle market for freight transport. In 2020, Spain announced that it would double freight traffic from 9% in 2020 to 18% by 2030.

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In terms of application, the freight wagon market is seen as the fastest growing segment in the rail vehicle market. This is due to the tailor-made and technologically advanced wagons such as chemical and pressure tank wagons as well as car carriers and container low-loader wagons. The demand for freight cars is high in the United States, China, and Russia due to replacement needs and the growth of manufacturing in these countries. The increased mining activities in emerging countries should have a positive impact on the freight transport market. For example, more than 1,210 million tons of freight were transported by rail in India in 2019-2020. The growth in freight traffic is likely to drive the growth of freight wagons and locomotives consistently.

The rail vehicle market is expected to grow the fastest in emerging economies such as Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, India and China. The Middle East & Africa region is considered to be the fastest growing market for rail vehicles, followed by Asia-Oceania. The demand for rail vehicles in this region is triggered by the growing population of urban areas where the existing transport infrastructure is insufficient. The expansion of this network is intended to stimulate the demand for new vehicles. Many companies such as CRRC, Bombardier and Alstom are expanding their presence and product offerings in a market with high growth potential in order to gain a foothold in the rolling stock market.

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